Economy

Four Years of War: EU in Kyiv, €90bn Loan Approved

EU leaders António Costa and Ursula von der Leyen traveled to Kyiv on the fourth anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion as the European Parliament approved a €90 billion loan package for Ukraine and a new World Bank assessment put reconstruction costs at $588 billion.

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Four Years of War: EU in Kyiv, €90bn Loan Approved

A Solemn Anniversary in a Capital Under Siege

Four years to the day since Russian tanks crossed Ukraine's borders, the presidents of the European Council and the European Commission stood in Kyiv on Monday, February 24, 2026, in a show of solidarity that was as symbolic as it was substantive. António Costa and Ursula von der Leyen participated in official memorial ceremonies, visited energy infrastructure shattered by Russian missile strikes, and held a trilateral meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

The visit coincided with a gathering of the Coalition of the Willing, a 35-nation grouping convened by French President Emmanuel Macron and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer to coordinate long-term security support for Ukraine. Since the February 2022 invasion, Europe has collectively provided €194.9 billion in aid to Ukraine, including €70 billion earmarked for military assistance, according to the European Council.

Parliament Greenlights €90 Billion Loan

The diplomatic symbolism was backed by concrete financial muscle. The European Parliament had already voted on February 11 to approve a sweeping €90 billion support loan for Ukraine covering 2026 and 2027. The package passed with 458 votes in favour, 140 against, and 44 abstentions — a comfortable majority reflecting broad cross-party support.

The loan is split into two tranches: €30 billion for macro-financial and budget assistance delivered through the EU's Ukraine Facility, and €60 billion to strengthen Ukraine's defence capabilities and military procurement. The Council of the EU must still give its formal sign-off before the Commission can disburse funds, with the first payment targeted for early in the second quarter of 2026 — around April — despite ongoing political complications linked to Hungary's resistance within the Council.

"Europe delivers," declared Renew Europe group leader Valérie Hayer following the vote. The package represented one of the largest single financial commitments to Ukraine since the war began.

Frozen Lines, Stalled Diplomacy

On the battlefield, the picture is grimmer. Four years of grinding warfare have left the front lines largely static. Russia controls roughly 20 percent of Ukrainian territory, and neither side has achieved a decisive breakthrough in months. The Trump administration's push for a negotiated settlement has produced talks but no breakthroughs.

A second round of US-brokered negotiations, held in Abu Dhabi, made incremental progress, but a subsequent session in Geneva ended abruptly after just two hours. Ukraine has accused Moscow of deliberately dragging out talks. The central sticking point remains territorial: Russia is demanding Ukrainian concessions in the Donbas region, while Kyiv refuses to legitimise Russian occupation of its land. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio acknowledged the gap, telling reporters that the Donetsk territorial claim "is still a gap, but at least we've been able to narrow down the issue set to one central one."

The Price of Rebuilding

Even as the guns continue to fire, a joint assessment published on February 23 by the World Bank, the European Commission, the United Nations, and the Ukrainian government laid out the staggering cost of recovery. Ukraine will need an estimated $588 billion over the next decade to rebuild — a figure 12 percent higher than the previous year's estimate and nearly three times Ukraine's pre-war annual GDP.

Direct physical damage has surpassed $195 billion. Transport infrastructure alone accounts for over $96 billion in reconstruction needs, followed by the energy sector at nearly $91 billion and housing at almost $90 billion — sectors devastated by sustained Russian strikes on civilian infrastructure.

Europe Steps Up as Washington Wavers

The anniversary underscored a shifting geopolitical reality: with US commitment to Ukraine's defence increasingly uncertain under the Trump administration, Europe is assuming a larger share of both financial and strategic responsibility. The €90 billion loan, the Coalition of the Willing, and the high-profile visit to Kyiv all signal that the EU intends to remain Ukraine's most reliable partner — whatever the outcome of diplomacy in Abu Dhabi or Washington.

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